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cointelegraph.com Mar 13, 2025 09:45

Will Bitcoin price reclaim $95K before the end of March? - Bitcoin’s price was up 3% after constant drawdowns since the end of January. The top cryptocurrency managed to rebound above $80,000 after a brief decline below the range on March 11. Bitcoin weekly chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewAfter the US core Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in lower than expected at 3.1% on March 12, Bitcoins market structure now sees the possibility of a quick bullish turnaround. Bitcoin liquidity clusters at $84K-$85KAfter Bitcoins (BTC) price tumbled on March 9, it rebounded to test the overhead resistance zone between $84,000 and $85,000 three times, spurring traders to aggressively build short positions in this range.The liquidation heatmap data suggested that more than $300 million in short positions were piled in this price region, which would be liquidated if the price moved above the $85,000 resistance. Bitcoin 1-week liquidation heatmap. Source: CoinGlassWith a lack of downside liquidity below $77,000, the probability of BTC moving toward upside liquidity increased. Moreover, triggering liquidations above $85,000 could fuel further bullish momentum, allowing Bitcoin to form a higher high and turn this level into new support. A CME Bitcoin futures gap from the previous weekend also remained unfilled between $85,000 and $86,000. With a 100% record of six gaps filled in the past four months, this setup further increased the chances of flipping the overhead resistance into support at $85,000. Bitcoin 4-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewIf this happens, the next major resistance lies at $90,000, which could liquidate over $1.6 billion in short positions for a retest of the $95,000 resistance level above, i.e., a 12% jump from the current price. Related: Bitcoin must secure weekly close above $89K to confirm bottom has passedBitcoin analyst Mark Cullen underlined a similar outlook for Bitcoin but warned that the price continues to move “correctively,” implying further sideways movement before a short squeeze. On the contrary, Valeria, a crypto analyst and funded trader, said that BTC was showing signs of distribution near the $85,000 range, which is short-term bearish. The trader highlighted that the BTC price might thread lower below $80,000 before a bullish breakout occurs.Coinbase, Binance diverge on orderbook trendsSpot traders on Binance have been aggressively selling over the past few days, according to data from Aggr.trade, with selling pressure peaking during the local lows at $76,650. Conversely, Coinbase spot buyers placed bids here, leading to BTC’s rebound above $80,000. Binance, Coinbase orderbooks. Source: Aggr.tradeOn March 12, a similar discrepancy was observed, with Binance spot traders selling near the $85,000 resistance, as Coinbase traders defended the price at $81,000 during the early US trading session, avoiding further downside. Related: Crypto trading volume slumps, signaling market exhaustion: AnalysisWhile Coinbase has led BTC’s rally in the past, an opposing stance between the two leading exchanges might slow BTC’s momentum to move swiftly through the resistance levels. Thus, for Bitcoin to reclaim higher highs at $85,000, $90,000 and $95,000 over the next couple of weeks, spot trading activity between the two major exchanges may need more collective direction.This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

FOMO: 85%
cointelegraph.com Mar 13, 2025 08:30

3 reasons why Ethereum can outperform its rivals after crashing to 17-month lows - Ether (ETH) fell 13% between March 8 and March 11 as investors moved to short-term fixed-income and cash positions, seeking safety amid a global tariff war and rising fears of an economic downturn. ETH price needs 29% gains to reclaim $2.5KMarket concerns escalated after the United States responded to Canada’s electricity surcharge with retaliatory measures.S&P 500 futures (left, magenta) vs. Ether/USD (blue). Source: TradingView/CointelegraphTypically, traders tend to overreact, increasing the likelihood that Ether will rebound faster than other assets once market sentiment improves. While some argue that risk assets are driven by inflation and economic growth data, others believe gains depend on stimulus measures and monetary expansion.Regardless of the catalyst for the next bull run, Ether price must climb 29% from its current $1,940 level to reclaim $2,500. This move will likely require increased demand from leveraged buyers, whose activity is now at its lowest point in five months.ETH 2-month futures annualized premium. Source: Laevitas.ch/CointelegraphTraders want higher prices to compensate for longer settlement periods, making a 5% to 10% annualized premium (basis rate) expected in neutral markets. When rates fall below this range—such as the current 4.5%—it signals weak bullish conviction.Excessive optimism played a role in Ether’s recent correction, as $235 million in leveraged long positions were liquidated between March 10 and March 11.The panic selling drove ETH to a low of $1,744, its lowest level since October 2023. However, several indicators suggest a potential recovery, as ETH derivatives and onchain metrics show resilience.Ethereum L2 network growsEther is trading 60% below its $4,868 all-time high from November 2021. This decline is largely due to increased competition in the smart contract sector and waning demand for applications such as non-fungible tokens (NFTs), gaming, collectibles, metaverse projects, social networks, and Web3 infrastructure.However, this perspective overlooks a key factor. In late 2021, the average transaction fee exceeded $50, while activity on Ethereum’s layer-2 ecosystem was 97% lower than it is today. For context, a token swap on Ethereum’s base layer cost $1.70 on March 11 despite the number of daily average operations per second growing, highlighting notable progress in network efficiency.Ethereum layer-2 daily average operations per second. Source: L2beatEven if bots generate 80% of layer-2 transactions, the remaining 20% of activity on Base, Arbitrum, Optimism, ZKsync, and Blast is still roughly three times higher than Ethereum’s base layer. However, critics have a valid argument: despite the surge in network activity, validators are earning significantly less compared to late 2021.Ethereum regains DEX top-spot, TVL grows Ethereum has reinforced its position as the second-most popular option for institutional investors in traditional finance, supported by $8.9 billion in spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Meanwhile, competitors such as Solana still await regulatory approval for similar ETF products. Even if they gain approval, they cannot match the first-mover advantage of the Grayscale Ethereum Trust, which began public trading on over-the-counter markets in June 2019.Moreover, Ethereum smart contract deposits, measured by total value locked (TVL), reached their highest level since July 2022 in ETH terms on March 11, marking a 10% increase over the past two weeks.Related: The strategic crypto reserve will fuel ecosystem growthEthereum network TVL, ETH. Source: DefiLlamaAt 24 million ETH, Ethereum’s TVL has been driven by the growth of liquid staking, lending, yield farming, and real-world asset tokenization. The network recently reclaimed its leading position in decentralized exchange volumes, reaching $20.5 billion over seven days and surpassing Solana’s $13.9 billion, according to DefiLlama data.This provided a bullish outlook for ETH’s price, driven by layer-2 transactions nearing all-time highs, reclaiming of the top spot in DEX volume, and rising TVL deposits. Ultimately, Ether’s trend reversal remains highly dependent on macroeconomic improvements, but once stabilized, ETH is well-positioned to regain $2,500 as a key support level in the coming weeks.This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

FOMO: 88%