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www.newsbtc.com Mar 27, 2025 20:00

Crypto Pundit Makes Case For Bitcoin Price At $260,000, But This Invalidation Level Threatens The Rally - A prominent crypto pundit has outlined a compelling case for the Bitcoin price outlook, predicting a surge to a target as high as $260,000 this bull cycle. However, a critical invalidation level stands in the way of this bullish scenario, threatening Bitcoin’s projected rally if breached.  On March 26, Gert van Lagen, a well-known crypto analyst on the X social media platform, predicted that the Bitcoin price could hit a bullish target between $200,000 and $300,000. The analyst’s chart suggests that Bitcoin’s price action in the past few years has closely followed a classic market cycle structure, moving through the Accumulation, Redistribution, Re-accumulation, and Distribution phases.  Bitcoin Price Eyes New ATH Above $260,000 According to Lagen, Bitcoin has successfully broken out of a seven-month re-accumulation phase, signaling the potential start of a powerful uptrend. Between late 2022 and early 2023, the cryptocurrency experienced an accumulation phase in which smart money entered the market at low prices when BTC had bottomed out. This was followed by a strong rally that led to a rapid price appreciation to new highs.  Related Reading: Global M2 Vs. Bitcoin Shows Bullishness As Analyst Sets ‘Blast Off’ Date, Here’s When After consolidating for seven months in mid-2023 – early 2024, Bitcoin formed a range, allowing the market to absorb supply before another price breakout. Notably, this trend continued in 2025, with BTC breaking out of a seven-month re-accumulation phase. Based on the trajectory of Lagen’s price chart, Bitcoin’s next leg up is a sharp rise to $240,000, followed by a brief correction before rallying to a price peak between $290,000 and $300,000. After hitting this ATH, the analyst predicts that Bitcoin will decline and undergo a period of choppy trading, experiencing price fluctuations between $220,000 and $260,000.  Interestingly, Bitcoin’s projected rise to an ATH and the following sideways trading are expected to occur during its distribution phase, which is typically characterized by increased sell-offs and market volatility. Once BTC experiences a final surge to $260,000, Lagen predicts a price crash toward $148,000 – $136,000, marking the possible end of the bull rally and the start of the bear market.  Key Invalidation Level Threatening BTC’s Rally Lagen’s optimistic price forecast for Bitcoin is being threatened by a key invalidation level, which could halt the cryptocurrency’s potential surge to $200,000 – $300,000. Although Bitcoin’s bullish structure remains intact, the analyst warns that a weekly close below the 40-week LSMA would invalidate its breakout.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Net Position Turns Green For The First Time In 2025 As of writing, the Bitcoin price is consolidating above this key invalidation level at $73,900. As long as it holds above this level, Lagen believes that its bullish trajectory will be sustained. However, a drop below $73,900, which already represents a 15% decline from BTC’s current market price, could postpone the projected surge or cancel it altogether. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

FOMO: 85%
www.newsbtc.com Mar 27, 2025 22:00

One Of Bitcoin’s Most Reliable Buy Signals Just Flashed - The Hash Ribbon indicator—an on-chain metric designed to identify periods of miner capitulation and subsequent recovery—has just issued a bullish signal for Bitcoin. Several well-known figures within the BTC community highlighted the event through posts on X , suggesting that the signal could mark a turning point in the market. The Ultimate Bitcoin Buy Signal? First introduced by on-chain analyst Charles Edwards, the Hash Ribbon relies on two moving averages (commonly the 30-day and 60-day averages of Bitcoin’s hash rate) to determine when mining difficulty and hash power may have capitulated and begun to recover. Traditionally, a “buy” signal is triggered once the 30-day MA crosses decisively above the 60-day MA, indicating that any period of miner-driven distress may be over. According to historical data, major buy signals have frequently appeared after sharp market downturns, sometimes coinciding with cycle bottoms. Although the indicator is not infallible, it has correctly identified several previous lows in Bitcoin’s history—most notably in 2011–2012, during the depths of the 2014–2015 bear market, around the $3k bottom of late 2018–early 2019, and near the $29k region in mid-2021. Related Reading: Now Is The Best Time To Buy Bitcoin, Says Investment Giant Shortly after the latest crossover was triggered, popular commentator Bitcoin Archive posted: “BITCOIN HASH-RIBBON FLASHES BUY SIGNAL – This is one of the most reliable ‘buy’ indicators. Significant price gains have followed 7 out of the last 7 times this indicator was triggered.” Edwards, the creator of the Hash Ribbon, retweeted this post, a move that many interpreted as an endorsement of the analysis. Adding to the discussion, a user noted: “Signal flashed only 20 times in Bitcoin’s history. 17/20 times the most recent local low was never violated on a closing basis. We can sweep the lows, or even wick below, but 85% of the time the low’s in and it’s up only from here.” Meanwhile, Jamie Coutts, chief analyst at Real Vision, stressed the importance of monitoring multiple on-chain metrics, even as the Hash Ribbon flashes bullish: “The widely watched Bitcoin Hash Ribbon signal just fired. While on-chain activity remains sluggish, the metrics with the strongest historical correlation to future price performance are flashing green.” Notably, many on-chain signals haven’t reached the levels of previous cycles even when the Bitcoin price hit almost $110,000 in mid-January. Also traditional technical signals haven’t reached peaks of the past. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Make Big Moves As Bullish Momentum Resurfaces Tony Severino, a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) and Head of Research at NewsBTC, has recently shifted from a bullish to a bearish stance on Bitcoin. Severino, who is also the founder of CoinChartist.io, argues that Bitcoin’s price action and on-chain metrics no longer support the bullish narratives common in past cycles. “The idea that Bitcoin HAS to reach past extremes on indicators is a dangerous way of thinking. Higher highs in price and lower highs on an oscillator is a bearish signal,” Severino stated recently. Severino warns against expecting Bitcoin to replicate its historical pattern of pushing certain momentum indicators (e.g., RSI or MACD) to extreme levels. Instead, he notes that divergences—where price climbs to new highs but technical indicators fail to confirm those highs—can signal market exhaustion. “The tools I use are bearish, period,” he remarked via X. At press time, BTC traded at $87,373. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

FOMO: 90%
www.newsbtc.com Mar 28, 2025 00:30

Waiting For An Altcoin Season? Analyst Says A Weekly Close Above This Level Would Trigger A Rally - The crypto market is still trying to recover from its crash in early March, and sentiment is currently fluctuating. Although the Fear & Greed Index is still in the fear zone, the Bitcoin price is now slowly pushing back toward $90,000, which has been slowly changing the sentiment among altcoins. Rekt Capital, an influential analyst on X, reignited hope for an incoming altcoin season with a key technical signal. According to the post, a breakout in the altcoin market cap could soon take shape if one critical condition is met. The analyst shared a chart and commentary suggesting that the next major rally may already be in motion, provided that the altcoin market cap can secure a weekly close above a particular level. Weekly Close Above $250 Billion Could Be The Game Changer The altcoin market cap reached a multi-month low in the first week of March after the crash that saw many cryptocurrencies shell out weeks of price gains within a short period. This crash briefly pushed the altcoin market cap below $200 billion, although it eventually closed the week above this threshold. However, this market cap has steadily been inching upwards in the last two weeks since the crash. Related Reading: Crypto CEO Calls Start Of The Altcoin Season With A Caveat At the time of writing, the altcoin market cap has risen back to around $249 billion. Technical analysis from crypto analyst Rekt Capital emphasized that a weekly close above the $250 billion mark would mark a significant technical shift for alts. This level, highlighted in blue on the chart below, will be an important resistance level for crypto investors waiting for the altcoin season. The analyst noted that a decisive close above it would likely precede a breakout rally toward the $315 billion level, marked in red. That move wouldn’t just signal short-term bullishness; it would also serve as confirmation that the bottom for altcoins has already been established. However, even if the altcoin market cap were to surge quickly towards $315, there would still be some work to do to return in order to the recent high of $451 billion set in December 2024. Shallow Correction Points To Stronger Momentum Ahead For Altcoin The nature of the current correction from this $451 billion altcoin market cap adds more weight to the possibility of an altcoin rally. According to the analyst, the ongoing correction has only reached a 55% drawdown from its local high, notably shallower than the previous major altcoin bear market retracements of 69% and 85%.  Related Reading: Altcoins Season: Recent Crypto Dip Shows Decline May Be Over And Bulls Are Taking Charge The shallower decline in the current retracement is interpreted as a sign of growing market maturity among altcoins. This implies that the selling pressure may be waning and that bulls are preparing for a stronger push. It also means that the $425 billion altcoin market cap resistance is weakening as a point of rejection, which in turn increases the chances of a breakout at the next visit. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com

FOMO: 88%
cointelegraph.com Mar 28, 2025 02:42

France’s state bank earmarks $27M for crypto with ‘strong French footprint’ - France’s state-owned bank says it will spend 25 million euros ($27 million) buying cryptocurrencies that support local crypto and blockchain projects.Bpifrance said in a March 27 press release that it would back newly formed projects “with a strong French footprint” where it will receive tokens in return for its investment and will look to fund decentralized finance (DeFi), staking, tokenization and artificial intelligence.It added that the plan, supported by the French Ministry of Economy and Finance, was to “promote emerging technologies and strengthen the French blockchain ecosystem.”The global blockchain ecosystem is “currently booming” but the number of French funds taking part is still very limited, it said. French digital and AI minister Clara Chappaz said public and private financing was “one of the keys to the sustainable positioning of our ecosystem on the international stage.”Bpifrance deputy CEO Arnaud Caudoux said that it was convinced of the growing importance that blockchain companies “will take on in the years to come and want to increase French competitiveness and presence in the digital assets field.”“The US is really accelerating its own crypto strategy, so this is all the more important,” Caudoux said at a press conference, as reported by Reuters. He added that Bpifrance had started to support crypto before the US started its own pro-crypto moves.Bpifrance’s headquarters in Paris. Source: GoogleThe bank said it had backed the blockchain sector for a decade and had invested over 150 million euros ($162 million), notably helping to finance the crypto hardware wallet company Ledger in 2014.Bpifrance said it began testing limited investments through tokens in 2022, including a deal with the DeFi lending platform Morpho to buy its token — which has grown to be the 12th largest protocol by value at $3.24 billion, according to DefiLlama.Related: Bybit removed from French regulator’s blacklist, eyes MiCA licenseVenture capitalists often take part in investments paid in tokens. PitchBook expects crypto VC deals to top $18 billion this year, a marked increase from the $13.6 billion raised in 2024.Typically, a crypto platform that launches a token will allocate a portion of its supply to financiers subject to varying lockup periods where the tokens can’t be sold.A portion of the token supply is usually immediately given to select public users in order to drum up liquidity, which can cause token values to slide if they cash out.Magazine: How crypto laws are changing across the world in 2025 

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